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2009-03-04

Model Predictions

Model Boston College Eagles NC State Wolfpack Spread Result
Elo 15.6% 84.4% -
Bradley-Terry 21.2% 78.8% -
Margin 12.6% 87.4% +10.7 (5.7 off)
Pythagorean 50.9% 49.1% -
Efficiency 58.4% 41.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 39.0% 61.0% -
Log Adjusted 38.8% 61.2% -

Actual: NC State Wolfpack +5 (74-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boston College Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Rice 38 5-12 0-5 4-5 2 10 2 0 5 14 11 -
R. Sanders 32 7-11 4-7 3-5 3 1 3 0 2 21 15 -
C. Raji 32 4-7 0-0 0-0 5 3 0 0 0 8 9 -
J. Trapani 29 3-8 3-7 2-2 6 0 0 1 1 11 9 -
J. Southern 23 2-4 0-0 2-2 4 1 0 1 0 6 8 -
C. Dunn 17 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
R. Jackson 16 2-5 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 4 0 -
T. Roche 11 1-4 1-4 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 3 2 -
B. Paris 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

NC State Wolfpack

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Costner 35 3-8 1-5 1-4 3 0 1 0 1 8 3 -
B. McCauley 29 7-12 0-0 6-7 6 2 0 1 2 20 15 -
T. Smith 28 5-8 0-0 4-6 5 0 0 0 1 14 10 -
J. Gonzalez 24 2-5 1-4 0-1 5 6 2 0 1 5 12 -
D. Horner 23 4-9 3-5 0-0 5 3 1 0 1 11 10 -
C. Fells 18 4-6 3-3 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 11 7 -
C.J. Williams 17 2-2 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 0 5 5 -
F. Degand 16 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 3 1 0 3 0 1 -
S. Harris 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 0 3 -

* = starter