Model Predictions
| Model | NC State Wolfpack | Florida Gators | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.8% | 86.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.4% | 57.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 30.7% | 69.3% | +4.5 | ✓ (2.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.9% | 65.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 25.9% | 74.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 25.8% | 74.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Florida Gators +2 (68-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Fells | 36 | 4-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 7 | - |
| B. Costner | 32 | 9-11 | 2-3 | 4-5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 24 | 10 | - |
| B. McCauley | 32 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 6 | - |
| F. Degand | 31 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 9 | - |
| S. Harris | 24 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| D. Horner | 19 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| J. Mays | 14 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 3 | - |
| T. Smith | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | - |
Florida Gators
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Werner | 34 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 11 | - |
| N. Calathes | 34 | 11-16 | 1-3 | 9-13 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 32 | 25 | - |
| C. Parsons | 33 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 4 | - |
| W. Hodge | 28 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| A. Tyus | 27 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 10 | - |
| E. Walker | 20 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | - |
| K. Kadji | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | - |
| R. Shipman | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| A. Chaney | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter