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2008-12-22

Model Predictions

Model Marquette Golden Eagles NC State Wolfpack Spread Result
Elo 35.6% 64.4% -
Bradley-Terry 41.6% 58.4% -
Margin 33.7% 66.3% +3.7 (6.7 off)
Pythagorean 53.8% 46.2% -
Efficiency 93.5% 6.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 60.0% 40.0% -
Log Adjusted 60.2% 39.8% -

Actual: NC State Wolfpack -3 (65-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Marquette Golden Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. McNeal 38 9-18 0-3 2-2 3 0 4 2 4 20 7 -
W. Matthews 36 2-4 1-2 0-2 4 0 1 0 3 5 3 -
L. Hayward 35 6-12 2-5 2-2 6 1 0 0 1 16 10 -
D. James 32 7-14 4-6 0-0 4 6 0 0 2 18 12 -
D. Burke 25 1-1 0-0 2-2 1 1 0 1 0 4 6 -
P. Hazel 12 2-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 2 1 0 4 6 -
J. Butler III 11 0-4 0-0 1-2 1 0 1 0 0 1 -1 -
M. Acker 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
D. Cubillan 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

NC State Wolfpack

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Ferguson 32 2-8 1-5 0-0 1 4 1 1 4 5 0 -
B. Costner 32 9-10 5-5 1-1 8 4 2 0 2 24 26 -
C. Fells 31 5-9 2-4 0-0 3 0 0 2 2 12 6 -
B. McCauley 28 2-5 0-0 4-6 4 2 2 0 0 8 11 -
F. Degand 21 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 2 0 -
J. Mays 16 2-4 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 3 4 0 -
T. Smith 12 3-7 0-0 4-6 2 0 0 1 1 10 5 -
S. Harris 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 1 0 4 -
D. Horner 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
C.J. Williams 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 -
J. Thomas 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
J. Gonzalez 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -3 -

* = starter