Model Predictions
| Model | Marquette Golden Eagles | NC State Wolfpack | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.6% | 64.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.6% | 58.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 33.7% | 66.3% | +3.7 | ✗ (6.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.8% | 46.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 93.5% | 6.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 60.0% | 40.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 60.2% | 39.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: NC State Wolfpack -3 (65-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Marquette Golden Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. McNeal | 38 | 9-18 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 7 | - |
| W. Matthews | 36 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 3 | - |
| L. Hayward | 35 | 6-12 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 10 | - |
| D. James | 32 | 7-14 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 12 | - |
| D. Burke | 25 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| P. Hazel | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| J. Butler III | 11 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | - |
| M. Acker | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| D. Cubillan | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Ferguson | 32 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 0 | - |
| B. Costner | 32 | 9-10 | 5-5 | 1-1 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 26 | - |
| C. Fells | 31 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 6 | - |
| B. McCauley | 28 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - |
| F. Degand | 21 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| J. Mays | 16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | - |
| T. Smith | 12 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| S. Harris | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| D. Horner | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C.J. Williams | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Thomas | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Gonzalez | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
* = starter