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2009-01-10

Model Predictions

Model NC State Wolfpack Clemson Tigers Spread Result
Elo 11.2% 88.8% -
Bradley-Terry 55.5% 44.5% -
Margin 54.0% 46.0% -0.9 (12.9 off)
Pythagorean 34.6% 65.4% -
Efficiency 1.2% 98.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 15.0% 85.0% -
Log Adjusted 14.9% 85.1% -

Actual: Clemson Tigers +12 (63-51). Predictions use season-end ratings.

NC State Wolfpack

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Ferguson 37 2-9 0-4 1-1 3 3 0 0 3 5 -1 -
C. Fells 36 4-11 2-5 0-0 7 0 2 2 1 10 9 -
B. Costner 28 3-9 1-3 2-3 3 4 2 2 5 9 6 -
B. McCauley 26 1-3 0-0 2-3 9 2 0 0 2 4 10 -
F. Degand 25 2-3 1-1 1-2 3 1 1 0 4 6 4 -
T. Smith 14 1-7 0-0 1-2 4 0 0 2 0 3 2 -
J. Mays 11 2-7 2-3 2-2 0 1 0 0 0 8 2 -
D. Horner 10 2-4 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 4 1 -
J. Gonzalez 7 0-1 0-0 2-2 1 1 0 0 2 2 1 -
S. Harris 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Clemson Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Booker 30 9-17 0-0 5-6 6 1 3 6 2 23 20 -
K.C. Rivers 29 3-11 2-3 1-2 11 2 1 0 2 9 10 -
T. Oglesby 23 1-5 0-1 1-2 2 3 1 0 2 3 2 -
R. Sykes 23 2-4 0-0 1-1 4 0 0 2 3 5 4 -
D. Stitt 22 2-5 0-1 2-5 1 2 1 0 0 6 5 -
D. Potter 19 2-4 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 0 0 6 6 -
A. Young 18 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 2 2 0 0 0 5 -
J. Grant 17 2-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 4 3 -
T. Smith 17 3-5 0-0 1-2 2 3 4 0 0 7 11 -
C. Baciu 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
B. Narcisse 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter