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2009-03-07

Model Predictions

Model NC State Wolfpack Miami Hurricanes Spread Result
Elo 22.9% 77.1% +8.1 โœ“ (0.1 off)
Bradley-Terry 31.6% 68.4% - โœ“
Margin 20.9% 79.1% +7.3 โœ“ (0.7 off)
Pythagorean 44.2% 55.8% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 25.1% 74.9% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 24.7% 75.3% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 34.5% 65.5% - โœ“

Actual: Miami Hurricanes +8 (72-64). Ratings: 2008-09 season-end ratings.

NC State Wolfpack

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tracy Smith 34 4-8 0-0 4-5 4 0 1 0 5 12 4 -
B. Costner 30 3-7 1-4 5-5 6 1 1 1 1 12 13 -
J. Gonzalez 30 6-13 5-8 2-2 3 4 1 0 2 19 12 -
Dennis Horner 29 3-7 0-3 1-2 4 2 0 0 0 7 6 -
T. Ferguson 25 2-4 1-3 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 5 4 -
B. McCauley 25 0-7 0-0 6-6 10 5 0 0 3 6 11 -
C.J. Williams 15 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
F. Degand 11 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Kendall Smith 1 1-1 0-0 1-1 2 0 0 0 0 3 4 -
S. Harris 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Miami Hurricanes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brian Asbury 36 4-11 1-3 4-5 7 0 1 0 0 13 10 -
D. Collins 35 4-6 0-0 1-3 6 0 1 0 0 9 10 -
Jack McClinton 35 3-15 2-6 16-16 2 1 1 0 1 24 12 -
Jimmy Graham 25 3-5 0-0 0-4 6 2 3 3 1 6 14 -
L. Hurdle 24 4-8 3-6 2-2 2 1 2 0 1 13 9 -
J. Dews 20 1-3 1-2 1-2 4 1 0 0 0 4 6 -
Adrian Thomas 16 0-3 0-3 1-2 1 1 0 0 1 1 -1 -
DeQuan Jones 6 1-3 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -
C. McGowan 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Julian Gamble 0 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter