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2009-03-07

Model Predictions

Model NC State Wolfpack Miami Hurricanes Spread Result
Elo 52.6% 47.4% -
Bradley-Terry 46.2% 53.8% -
Margin 38.3% 61.7% +2.6 (5.4 off)
Pythagorean 50.2% 49.8% -
Efficiency 2.7% 97.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 34.3% 65.7% -
Log Adjusted 34.3% 65.7% -

Actual: Miami Hurricanes +8 (72-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

NC State Wolfpack

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Smith 34 4-8 0-0 4-5 4 0 1 0 5 12 4 -
B. Costner 30 3-7 1-4 5-5 6 1 1 1 1 12 13 -
J. Gonzalez 30 6-13 5-8 2-2 3 4 1 0 2 19 12 -
D. Horner 29 3-7 0-3 1-2 4 2 0 0 0 7 6 -
T. Ferguson 25 2-4 1-3 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 5 4 -
B. McCauley 25 0-7 0-0 6-6 10 5 0 0 3 6 11 -
C.J. Williams 15 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
F. Degand 11 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
K. Smith 1 1-1 0-0 1-1 2 0 0 0 0 3 4 -
S. Harris 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Miami Hurricanes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Asbury 36 4-11 1-3 4-5 7 0 1 0 0 13 10 -
D. Collins 35 4-6 0-0 1-3 6 0 1 0 0 9 10 -
J. McClinton 35 3-15 2-6 16-16 2 1 1 0 1 24 12 -
J. Graham 25 3-5 0-0 0-4 6 2 3 3 1 6 14 -
L. Hurdle 24 4-8 3-6 2-2 2 1 2 0 1 13 9 -
J. Dews 20 1-3 1-2 1-2 4 1 0 0 0 4 6 -
A. Thomas 16 0-3 0-3 1-2 1 1 0 0 1 1 -1 -
D. Jones 6 1-3 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -
C. McGowan 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Gamble 0 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter