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NC State Wolfpack 69
@
Maryland Terrapins 74
2009-03-12

Model Predictions

Model NC State Wolfpack Maryland Terrapins Spread Result
Elo 20.5% 79.5% +9.2 ✓ (4.2 off)
Bradley-Terry 29.0% 71.0% - ✓
Margin 26.1% 73.9% +5.7 ✓ (0.7 off)
Pythagorean 48.1% 51.9% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 32.0% 68.0% - ✓
Log Adjusted 32.2% 67.8% - ✓
Points Off/Def 37.8% 62.2% - ✓

Actual: Maryland Terrapins +5 (74-69). Ratings: 2008-09 season-end ratings.

NC State Wolfpack

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Courtney Fells * 31 2-7 0-2 0-0 5 1 0 1 2 4 2 -
B. McCauley * 27 7-10 0-0 0-0 7 0 2 2 2 14 13 -
Tracy Smith * 23 2-6 0-0 0-1 6 2 1 0 3 4 4 -
B. Costner * 18 2-8 1-5 0-0 4 4 0 0 1 5 4 -
J. Gonzalez * 16 2-3 1-2 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 5 4 -
Dennis Horner 29 1-5 1-5 8-8 2 3 0 0 2 11 9 -
Julius Mays 24 7-15 3-9 1-2 2 2 1 0 0 18 8 -
C.J. Williams 21 3-5 2-4 0-0 3 2 0 1 0 8 9 -
S. Harris 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 -

Maryland Terrapins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Greivis Vasquez * 38 7-16 1-5 2-2 4 10 1 0 2 17 14 -
Landon Milbourne * 35 2-9 0-0 3-4 3 2 5 1 3 7 6 -
Sean Mosley * 27 2-5 0-0 2-4 3 2 1 0 1 6 6 -
D. Neal * 22 4-7 2-2 0-0 2 0 0 1 1 10 5 -
A. Bowie * 13 2-4 0-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 4 3 -
E. Hayes 29 5-6 5-6 6-8 1 2 0 0 1 21 17 -
Dino Gregory 23 2-4 0-0 2-3 7 0 0 2 0 6 11 -
C. Tucker 13 1-2 1-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 3 3 -

* = starter