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2009-02-14

Model Predictions

Model NC State Wolfpack Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets Spread Result
Elo 65.5% 34.5% -
Bradley-Terry 57.3% 42.7% -
Margin 50.8% 49.2% -0.2 (20.8 off)
Pythagorean 51.7% 48.3% -
Efficiency 50.7% 49.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 72.8% 27.2% -
Log Adjusted 72.9% 27.1% -

Actual: Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets -21 (65-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.

NC State Wolfpack

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Costner 35 3-8 2-3 2-3 3 1 1 0 3 10 4 -
C. Fells 28 5-7 2-4 2-2 4 2 2 0 3 14 12 -
B. McCauley 28 0-1 0-0 4-6 8 3 1 0 4 4 11 -
T. Smith 25 5-8 0-0 8-11 10 3 3 0 2 18 24 -
C.J. Williams 23 4-6 3-5 0-0 2 5 1 0 2 11 11 -
J. Gonzalez 21 4-6 1-3 5-5 2 3 1 0 2 14 12 -
F. Degand 19 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 5 4 0 -
D. Horner 16 4-5 1-2 2-2 0 1 1 0 0 11 8 -
E. Kufuor 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
S. Greenway 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Mays 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
T. Ferguson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
K. Smith 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Clinch 35 4-12 2-7 2-2 2 4 2 0 5 12 3 -
I. Shumpert 29 5-10 2-4 2-3 4 4 1 0 2 14 11 -
A. Aminu 27 5-12 0-0 1-3 7 1 2 2 0 11 11 -
Z. Peacock 27 2-7 0-0 3-3 2 1 4 0 2 7 5 -
M. Miller 24 3-7 1-3 0-0 3 4 3 0 4 7 6 -
G. Lawal 22 3-8 0-0 1-2 3 1 1 2 2 7 4 -
L. Storrs 16 1-5 0-2 0-0 1 1 1 1 0 2 1 -
N. Foreman 15 2-3 1-1 0-0 0 0 2 0 0 5 4 -
B. Sheehan 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
G. Cage 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter