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2009-01-24

Model Predictions

Model NC State Wolfpack Boston College Eagles Spread Result
Elo 73.1% 26.9% -
Bradley-Terry 67.6% 32.4% -
Margin 68.9% 31.1% -4.4 (15.4 off)
Pythagorean 43.1% 56.9% -
Efficiency 35.6% 64.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 55.0% 45.0% -
Log Adjusted 55.2% 44.8% -

Actual: Boston College Eagles +11 (79-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

NC State Wolfpack

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Fells 31 4-10 0-4 2-4 0 3 1 1 2 10 3 -
F. Degand 30 4-7 2-4 0-0 1 7 3 1 2 10 13 -
B. McCauley 26 7-13 0-0 1-1 6 1 1 2 0 15 12 -
B. Costner 26 2-6 0-1 2-3 4 1 1 1 2 6 5 -
T. Smith 24 6-9 0-0 5-8 8 0 0 0 2 17 14 -
D. Horner 19 0-4 0-1 2-2 2 1 1 0 0 2 2 -
J. Thomas 14 1-2 1-1 2-2 2 0 0 0 0 5 5 -
C.J. Williams 11 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
J. Mays 10 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 3 2 -
T. Ferguson 9 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 -1 -

Boston College Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Rice 36 8-13 3-7 6-6 4 3 1 0 3 25 17 -
J. Trapani 33 4-12 1-5 3-3 10 3 0 1 2 12 12 -
C. Raji 30 3-10 0-0 2-2 12 2 1 0 1 8 12 -
R. Jackson 26 4-8 0-3 2-2 2 3 1 1 1 10 8 -
J. Southern 25 3-9 0-0 1-4 7 0 0 0 4 7 1 -
R. Sanders 19 4-8 2-2 2-2 4 1 0 0 1 12 8 -
C. Dunn 15 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
T. Roche 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
D. Elmore 5 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
B. Paris 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 2 1 0 0 0 2 -

* = starter