Model Predictions
| Model | Florida State Seminoles | NC State Wolfpack | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 57.1% | 42.9% | -2.6 | ✓ (10.4 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 70.2% | 29.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 51.9% | 48.1% | -0.4 | ✓ (12.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.4% | 52.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 64.4% | 35.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 64.6% | 35.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: NC State Wolfpack -13 (65-78). Ratings: 2008-09 season-end ratings.
Florida State Seminoles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toney Douglas | 35 | 8-15 | 0-3 | 5-6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 11 | - |
| Derwin Kitchen | 29 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 6 | - |
| U. Echefu | 27 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 6-6 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 17 | - |
| Chris Singleton | 22 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Deividas Dulkys | 21 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Solomon Alabi | 21 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| J. DeMercy | 14 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Luke Loucks | 13 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Ryan Reid | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | - |
| X. Gibson | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Courtney Fells | 34 | 5-15 | 1-7 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 2 | - |
| J. Mays | 26 | 5-8 | 0-2 | 3-5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 2 | - |
| Dennis Horner | 24 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 6-6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| B. McCauley | 24 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | - |
| J. Thomas | 18 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| C.J. Williams | 17 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| B. Costner | 16 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 3-6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Tracy Smith | 16 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| F. Degand | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| T. Ferguson | 11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Gonzalez | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter