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2009-01-13

Model Predictions

Model Florida State Seminoles NC State Wolfpack Spread Result
Elo 19.6% 80.4% -
Bradley-Terry 47.4% 52.6% -
Margin 45.7% 54.3% +0.9 (13.9 off)
Pythagorean 44.6% 55.4% -
Efficiency 78.6% 21.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 59.8% 40.2% -
Log Adjusted 59.8% 40.2% -

Actual: NC State Wolfpack -13 (65-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Florida State Seminoles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Douglas 35 8-15 0-3 5-6 2 2 2 1 2 21 11 -
D. Kitchen 29 3-8 0-0 3-4 4 3 0 0 2 9 6 -
U. Echefu 27 3-7 0-2 6-6 11 1 1 0 1 12 17 -
C. Singleton 22 2-6 0-2 0-0 2 0 3 0 1 4 2 -
D. Dulkys 21 3-5 1-3 2-2 4 0 2 0 0 9 10 -
S. Alabi 21 6-7 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 2 1 12 10 -
J. DeMercy 14 1-3 0-2 0-1 3 1 2 0 1 2 4 -
L. Loucks 13 1-1 1-1 1-2 1 1 0 0 0 4 5 -
R. Reid 11 1-2 0-0 1-2 0 2 1 0 4 3 0 -
X. Gibson 7 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 2 2 -

NC State Wolfpack

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Fells 34 5-15 1-7 1-1 4 1 2 1 3 12 2 -
J. Mays 26 5-8 0-2 3-5 0 0 0 0 3 13 2 -
D. Horner 24 0-3 0-2 6-6 2 2 0 0 0 6 7 -
B. McCauley 24 2-5 0-0 1-2 4 2 0 0 2 5 4 -
J. Thomas 18 2-2 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 1 1 5 5 -
C.J. Williams 17 3-5 2-2 0-0 3 0 1 0 1 8 6 -
B. Costner 16 3-8 1-4 3-6 2 0 1 1 2 10 4 -
T. Smith 16 3-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 6 5 -
F. Degand 11 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 0 1 -
T. Ferguson 11 0-3 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 0 0 -
J. Gonzalez 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 0 -1 -

* = starter