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2009-02-11

Model Predictions

Model Wake Forest Demon Deacons NC State Wolfpack Spread Result
Elo 38.5% 61.5% -
Bradley-Terry 26.7% 73.3% -
Margin 17.2% 82.8% +8.6 (2.6 off)
Pythagorean 61.1% 38.9% -
Efficiency 94.8% 5.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 82.4% 17.6% -
Log Adjusted 82.4% 17.6% -

Actual: NC State Wolfpack +6 (82-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Wake Forest Demon Deacons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Teague 36 2-3 1-2 6-8 1 7 2 0 3 11 15 -
J. Johnson 35 8-15 1-5 1-1 9 3 0 2 1 18 16 -
L.D. Williams 27 4-10 0-3 0-2 1 0 1 0 1 8 -1 -
I. Smith 21 2-6 0-1 1-2 2 2 1 0 2 5 2 -
A. Aminu 21 4-7 1-1 0-0 6 1 3 0 4 9 8 -
C. McFarland 19 3-5 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 2 4 6 5 -
T. Woods 17 2-5 0-0 1-3 4 0 0 1 1 5 4 -
H. Hale 12 2-4 1-3 0-0 1 0 1 1 0 5 4 -
G. Clark 6 3-6 1-3 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 7 3 -
D. Weaver 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 2 3 -

NC State Wolfpack

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Fells 36 4-12 2-7 2-2 0 2 3 1 1 12 5 -
B. Costner 35 8-13 2-3 5-6 9 2 2 2 4 23 21 -
B. McCauley 29 1-4 0-0 3-4 5 2 0 2 1 5 9 -
F. Degand 26 4-10 3-5 3-6 1 4 3 1 2 14 11 -
T. Smith 24 5-13 0-0 2-5 12 1 1 0 1 12 12 -
J. Gonzalez 19 1-4 0-3 4-4 4 2 2 0 4 6 6 -
C.J. Williams 18 3-4 0-0 4-4 3 1 1 0 1 10 10 -
D. Horner 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -1 -
J. Thomas 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter