Michigan State
2006 Team Stats (32 games)
74.5
PPG
68.8
Opp
+5.8
Margin
47.9%
FG%
37.7%
3P%
77.2%
FT%
35.9
RPG
16.7
APG
14.3
TO
-
Est. poss./game
75.7
Adj PPG
65.5
Adj Opp PPG
#39
Scoring Rank
Model Outputs
2005-2006
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 1194 (#48) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 1208 (#41) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 1032 (#114) | HCA +97 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | +11.1 (#38) | HCA +3.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | +10.0 (#43) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.691 (#74) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.882 (#38) | AdjNet +17.5 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.884 (#37) | AdjNet +17.6 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.716 (#39) | AdjO 75.7 | AdjD 65.5 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.630 (#58) | AdjO 70.6 | AdjD 64.8 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.745 (#48) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.729 (#54) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 1206 (#40) | RD 108 | GP 33 |
2006 Schedule & Results
2006 Roster
No roster data available for this season.