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2005-12-06

Model Predictions

Model Boston College Eagles Michigan State Spartans Spread Result
Elo 2.8% 97.2% -
Bradley-Terry 17.9% 82.1% -
Margin 7.8% 92.2% +13.6 (6.6 off)
Pythagorean 45.4% 54.6% -
Efficiency 59.9% 40.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 35.1% 64.9% -
Log Adjusted 34.9% 65.1% -

Actual: Michigan State Spartans +7 (77-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boston College Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Smith * 40 5-12 0-0 8-12 9 0 0 0 6 18 9 -
J. Dudley * 39 7-11 2-4 7-11 6 3 0 1 1 23 21 -
L. Hinnant * 34 2-7 0-4 1-2 2 6 1 0 2 5 5 -
J. Oates * 29 1-2 1-2 0-0 5 1 0 0 1 3 6 -
S. Marshall * 28 6-10 2-4 2-2 3 1 1 0 3 16 8 -
T. Rice 26 2-6 1-5 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 5 0 -
M. Haynes 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -

Michigan State Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. Davis * 38 6-10 0-0 6-6 7 3 1 1 2 18 18 -
D. Neitzel * 37 4-5 3-4 2-2 2 5 1 0 0 13 16 -
M. Ager * 31 9-13 2-5 2-3 3 6 0 0 2 22 16 -
S. Brown * 27 3-9 1-4 1-2 1 2 2 0 3 8 1 -
M. Gray * 25 3-6 0-0 2-3 5 0 1 0 2 8 6 -
M. Trannon 21 2-4 0-0 2-2 3 2 1 0 0 6 8 -
T. Walton 19 1-4 0-0 0-0 1 2 2 0 0 2 3 -
G. Suton 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter