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2006-03-02

Model Predictions

Model Wisconsin Badgers Michigan State Spartans Spread Result
Elo 25.9% 74.1% -
Bradley-Terry 31.4% 68.6% -
Margin 21.6% 78.4% +7.1 (1.9 off)
Pythagorean 45.6% 54.4% -
Efficiency 44.2% 55.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 38.6% 61.4% -
Log Adjusted 38.6% 61.4% -

Actual: Michigan State Spartans +9 (74-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Wisconsin Badgers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Taylor * 33 4-18 0-5 1-3 5 1 1 0 0 9 -2 -
B. Butch * 27 4-12 1-4 0-1 8 2 0 0 3 9 4 -
A. Tucker * 26 8-16 0-1 7-11 1 2 0 1 1 23 10 -
R. Nixon * 19 2-3 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 5 1 -
J. Chappell * 14 1-2 1-2 0-0 5 1 0 1 1 3 7 -
M. Flowers 30 4-6 1-2 0-0 3 1 1 0 1 9 7 -
K. Gullikson 27 1-2 0-0 3-4 5 1 2 1 1 5 11 -
J. Krabbenhoft 24 1-3 0-2 0-0 4 3 1 2 0 2 9 -

Michigan State Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Brown * 37 6-15 2-3 4-5 6 3 1 0 1 18 12 -
D. Neitzel * 36 2-4 0-0 0-0 5 6 1 1 0 4 13 -
P. Davis * 30 9-12 0-0 9-10 9 2 1 1 3 27 25 -
M. Ager * 29 7-14 2-4 3-4 2 1 1 0 3 19 6 -
M. Gray * 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
G. Suton 28 2-4 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 2 1 4 8 -
T. Walton 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 5 0 0 2 0 5 -
D. Rowley 12 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 2 2 -
M. Joseph 0 0-0 0-0 0-2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter