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2006-01-08

Model Predictions

Model Michigan State Spartans Wisconsin Badgers Spread Result
Elo 58.9% 41.1% -
Bradley-Terry 55.1% 44.9% -
Margin 53.0% 47.0% -0.7 (19.7 off)
Pythagorean 48.4% 51.6% -
Efficiency 49.8% 50.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 55.4% 44.6% -
Log Adjusted 55.4% 44.6% -

Actual: Wisconsin Badgers +19 (82-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Michigan State Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Neitzel * 37 5-8 4-6 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 14 6 -
S. Brown * 36 9-23 3-9 10-11 6 0 1 0 2 31 13 -
M. Ager * 31 5-19 1-6 0-1 3 1 2 0 1 11 -3 -
P. Davis * 29 1-6 0-1 0-0 9 2 0 1 3 2 5 -
M. Gray * 14 1-4 0-0 1-2 7 0 0 1 4 3 3 -
M. Trannon 21 1-2 0-0 0-0 7 2 0 1 1 2 9 -
T. Walton 17 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 0 1 -
G. Suton 5 0-0 0-0 0-1 1 0 0 2 0 0 3 -
I. Ibok 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 0 2 -
D. Rowley 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Joseph 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Wisconsin Badgers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Tucker * 36 5-17 1-3 6-17 6 1 1 0 1 17 7 -
K. Taylor * 35 11-17 5-8 0-0 5 2 2 0 1 27 18 -
B. Butch * 25 5-9 2-5 0-1 5 3 1 2 2 12 12 -
J. Chappell * 20 0-0 0-0 2-4 5 3 0 2 1 2 11 -
R. Nixon * 15 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 3 3 -
M. Flowers 26 3-5 1-2 2-2 1 1 0 0 1 9 5 -
M. Landry 16 2-2 0-0 2-4 2 2 1 1 0 6 10 -
G. Stiemsma 12 0-1 0-1 0-0 4 1 1 2 1 0 6 -
J. Krabbenhoft 11 1-2 0-0 2-2 2 1 0 0 2 4 3 -
M. Cain 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
K. Gullikson 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
D. Barry 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
T. Bronson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter