Model Predictions
| Model | Ohio State Buckeyes | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.6% | 81.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.3% | 55.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 35.1% | 64.9% | +3.4 | ✗ (14.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.7% | 46.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 78.1% | 21.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 63.6% | 36.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 63.6% | 36.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans -11 (68-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Ohio State Buckeyes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Butler * | 39 | 4-9 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 12 | - |
| M. Sylvester * | 32 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 12 | - |
| T. Dials * | 28 | 9-11 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 18 | - |
| J.J. Sullinger * | 19 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| J. Foster | 36 | 5-14 | 3-8 | 4-4 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 13 | - |
| R. Lewis | 29 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 5-5 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 14 | - |
| M. Terwilliger | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - |
| I. Harris | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Neitzel * | 40 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| M. Ager * | 38 | 10-21 | 2-10 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 26 | 4 | - |
| S. Brown * | 37 | 5-13 | 2-4 | 5-6 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 16 | - |
| P. Davis * | 34 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 6-8 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 11 | - |
| M. Gray * | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| T. Walton | 33 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | - |
| D. Rowley | 8 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| M. Joseph | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter