Model Predictions
| Model | Purdue Boilermakers | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.0% | 60.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 29.9% | 70.1% | +4.7 | ✓ (7.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 11.8% | 88.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans +12 (70-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Purdue Boilermakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Dillon * | 40 | 5-8 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 11 | - |
| C. Lutz * | 38 | 2-9 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -1 | - |
| S. Heber * | 36 | 5-15 | 1-2 | 5-8 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 13 | - |
| C. Hartley * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| G. Ware * | 21 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 10 | - |
| N. Minnoy | 12 | 0-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4 | - |
| B. Riddell | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| M. Green | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Carroll | 7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| M. White | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Brown * | 35 | 3-10 | 1-2 | 4-7 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 9 | - |
| M. Ager * | 33 | 7-13 | 1-3 | 5-5 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 15 | - |
| D. Neitzel * | 32 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| P. Davis * | 26 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 11 | - |
| G. Suton * | 17 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 6 | - |
| T. Walton | 19 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| M. Trannon | 19 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| D. Rowley | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| I. Ibok | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Aerts | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter