Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | Illinois Fighting Illini | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.9% | 55.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 58.7% | 41.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 59.5% | 40.5% | -2.1 | ✗ (12.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.0% | 57.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 12.4% | 87.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 32.2% | 67.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 32.2% | 67.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini +10 (60-50). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Brown * | 38 | 6-16 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 3 | - |
| D. Neitzel * | 37 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| M. Ager * | 35 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 4 | - |
| P. Davis * | 30 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 6-6 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 12 | - |
| M. Gray * | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| M. Trannon | 24 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| G. Suton | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| T. Walton | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Rowley | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Brown * | 39 | 12-22 | 7-13 | 3-3 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 34 | 15 | - |
| J. Augustine * | 37 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 10 | - |
| B. Randle * | 32 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| R. McBride * | 31 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| S. Pruitt * | 25 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| C. Frazier | 15 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| J. Smith | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Arnold | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| W. Carter | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter