Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | Michigan Wolverines | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.5% | 64.5% | +3.9 | ✓ (1.1 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.1% | 54.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 36.2% | 63.8% | +3.1 | ✓ (1.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.6% | 53.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 41.4% | 58.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 41.4% | 58.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.5% | 56.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan Wolverines +5 (72-67). Ratings: 2005-06 season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Ager * | 37 | 6-11 | 3-7 | 3-4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 11 | - |
| Shannon Brown * | 35 | 5-10 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Drew Neitzel * | 31 | 6-11 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 10 | - |
| P. Davis * | 29 | 4-11 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| M. Trannon * | 25 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| T. Walton | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| M. Gray | 11 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Goran Suton | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| D. Rowley | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Joseph | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
Michigan Wolverines
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Harris * | 37 | 1-12 | 0-5 | 7-8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - |
| D. Horton * | 36 | 6-12 | 3-5 | 8-8 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 23 | 14 | - |
| R. Coleman * | 29 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| G. Brown * | 27 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Courtney Sims * | 17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Chris Hunter | 24 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 4-6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 10 | - |
| B. Petway | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Jerret Smith | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Shepherd | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter