Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | Michigan Wolverines | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 53.2% | 46.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.6% | 49.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 44.0% | 56.0% | +1.3 | ✓ (3.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.8% | 49.2% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 82.1% | 17.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 58.2% | 41.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 58.3% | 41.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Michigan Wolverines +5 (72-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Ager * | 37 | 6-11 | 3-7 | 3-4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 11 | - |
| S. Brown * | 35 | 5-10 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 6 | - |
| D. Neitzel * | 31 | 6-11 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 10 | - |
| P. Davis * | 29 | 4-11 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| M. Trannon * | 25 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| T. Walton | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| M. Gray | 11 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 | - |
| G. Suton | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| D. Rowley | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Joseph | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
Michigan Wolverines
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Harris * | 37 | 1-12 | 0-5 | 7-8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - |
| D. Horton * | 36 | 6-12 | 3-5 | 8-8 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 23 | 14 | - |
| R. Coleman * | 29 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| G. Brown * | 27 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 12 | - |
| C. Sims * | 17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| C. Hunter | 24 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 4-6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 10 | - |
| B. Petway | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| J. Smith | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Shepherd | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter