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2006-03-11

Model Predictions

Model Michigan State Spartans Iowa Hawkeyes Spread Result
Elo 78.9% 21.1% -
Bradley-Terry 53.4% 46.6% -
Margin 48.8% 51.2% +0.3 (4.7 off)
Pythagorean 49.3% 50.7% -
Efficiency 30.3% 69.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 48.8% 51.2% -
Log Adjusted 48.8% 51.2% -

Actual: Iowa Hawkeyes +5 (53-48). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Michigan State Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Brown * 36 3-16 2-9 0-0 5 1 0 0 2 8 -4 -
M. Ager * 34 8-18 5-10 0-1 4 0 0 0 4 21 3 -
P. Davis * 33 2-5 0-0 9-11 10 1 2 0 5 13 16 -
D. Neitzel * 29 0-7 0-4 0-0 2 6 1 0 3 0 -1 -
G. Suton * 17 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
M. Trannon 27 2-4 0-0 2-4 6 0 0 0 1 6 7 -
T. Walton 18 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 3 0 1 0 2 -
D. Rowley 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
J. Aerts 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
A. Hamo 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Iowa Hawkeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Horner * 40 4-12 2-6 4-4 3 2 0 0 3 14 4 -
M. Henderson * 36 3-6 0-0 5-5 4 2 3 1 4 11 11 -
G. Brunner * 33 4-10 0-1 4-8 5 2 0 1 2 12 8 -
A. Haluska * 31 1-8 0-3 7-8 5 1 2 0 0 9 9 -
E. Hansen * 18 1-3 0-0 1-2 4 0 0 3 2 3 5 -
D. Thomas 17 2-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 1 4 5 -
T. Freeman 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 0 2 -
A. Thompson 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 -
S. Gorney 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter