Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | Iowa Hawkeyes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 78.9% | 21.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.4% | 46.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 48.8% | 51.2% | +0.3 | ✓ (4.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.3% | 50.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 30.3% | 69.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 48.8% | 51.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 48.8% | 51.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Iowa Hawkeyes +5 (53-48). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Brown * | 36 | 3-16 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -4 | - |
| M. Ager * | 34 | 8-18 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 3 | - |
| P. Davis * | 33 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 9-11 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 16 | - |
| D. Neitzel * | 29 | 0-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -1 | - |
| G. Suton * | 17 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| M. Trannon | 27 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| T. Walton | 18 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| D. Rowley | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Aerts | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Hamo | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Iowa Hawkeyes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Horner * | 40 | 4-12 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 4 | - |
| M. Henderson * | 36 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 11 | - |
| G. Brunner * | 33 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 4-8 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 8 | - |
| A. Haluska * | 31 | 1-8 | 0-3 | 7-8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| E. Hansen * | 18 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 5 | - |
| D. Thomas | 17 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| T. Freeman | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| A. Thompson | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| S. Gorney | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter