Model Predictions
| Model | Gonzaga Bulldogs | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.4% | 66.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.4% | 48.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 42.2% | 57.8% | +1.7 | ✗ (4.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.9% | 48.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 57.2% | 42.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 40.8% | 59.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 40.4% | 59.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans -3 (106-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Gonzaga Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Raivio * | 53 | 8-14 | 4-8 | 6-6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 16 | - |
| A. Morrison * | 52 | 14-28 | 4-8 | 11-12 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 43 | 26 | - |
| J.P. Batista * | 37 | 6-14 | 0-0 | 10-10 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 18 | - |
| S. Mallon * | 27 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| P. Altidor-Cespedes * | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| J. Pargo | 44 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 11 | - |
| D. Pendergraft | 27 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| J. Heytvelt | 19 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 4 | - |
| L. Gurganious | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Diallo | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| N. Doudney | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Davis * | 53 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 12-12 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 26 | 31 | - |
| D. Neitzel * | 47 | 6-12 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 6 | - |
| S. Brown * | 46 | 7-21 | 3-11 | 2-2 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 8 | - |
| M. Ager * | 39 | 13-27 | 7-17 | 3-3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 36 | 16 | - |
| D. Naymick * | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| G. Suton | 42 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 11 | - |
| T. Walton | 31 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| M. Gray | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| I. Ibok | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Joseph | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter