Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | Indiana Hoosiers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 74.5% | 25.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.0% | 45.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 50.8% | 49.2% | -0.2 | ✗ (7.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.7% | 42.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 52.3% | 47.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 72.8% | 27.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 72.9% | 27.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Indiana Hoosiers +7 (78-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Neitzel * | 38 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| S. Brown * | 38 | 5-13 | 1-4 | 7-7 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 10 | - |
| M. Ager * | 38 | 12-18 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 30 | 17 | - |
| P. Davis * | 25 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 5 | - |
| M. Gray * | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| T. Walton | 32 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8 | - |
| D. Rowley | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| G. Suton | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| I. Ibok | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
Indiana Hoosiers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Strickland * | 39 | 5-11 | 2-4 | 4-5 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 12 | - |
| R. Vaden * | 39 | 8-13 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 24 | - |
| M. Killingsworth * | 25 | 6-12 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 9 | - |
| E. Calloway * | 20 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| A.J. Ratliff * | 16 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| R. Wilmont | 26 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| E. Suhr | 19 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 6-6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| B. Allen | 13 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | - |
| S. Kline | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter