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2006-01-15

Model Predictions

Model Michigan State Spartans Ohio State Buckeyes Spread Result
Elo 68.7% 31.3% -
Bradley-Terry 41.4% 58.6% -
Margin 36.4% 63.6% +3.1 (6.1 off)
Pythagorean 40.3% 59.7% -
Efficiency 15.9% 84.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 30.4% 69.6% -
Log Adjusted 30.4% 69.6% -

Actual: Ohio State Buckeyes -3 (59-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Michigan State Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Neitzel * 45 1-5 0-2 2-2 3 5 1 0 2 4 6 -
S. Brown * 45 9-16 2-5 0-0 5 4 1 0 4 20 10 -
M. Ager * 44 1-11 0-3 0-0 5 5 0 0 1 2 0 -
P. Davis * 43 7-16 0-2 4-4 12 3 2 3 3 18 19 -
M. Trannon * 40 6-8 0-0 2-4 11 0 0 1 1 14 17 -
T. Walton 22 2-3 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 4 2 -
D. Rowley 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 -
G. Suton 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
M. Gray 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

Ohio State Buckeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Dials * 48 8-16 0-0 3-6 10 0 3 0 4 19 12 -
J. Butler * 46 3-9 1-3 0-0 7 5 0 0 1 7 9 -
J.J. Sullinger * 40 1-8 0-4 2-2 7 0 1 0 0 4 4 -
M. Sylvester * 40 6-16 4-6 1-2 3 2 0 0 3 17 3 -
J. Foster 40 3-13 2-10 0-0 9 3 0 0 0 8 7 -
R. Lewis 29 2-7 0-5 0-0 1 1 0 0 4 4 -5 -
S. Mayes 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
M. Terwilliger 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter