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Michigan State Spartans 55
@
Minnesota Golden Gophers 69
2006-02-11

Model Predictions

Model Michigan State Spartans Minnesota Golden Gophers Spread Result
Elo 86.9% 13.1% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 61.8% 38.2% - ✗
Margin 63.1% 36.9% -2.9 ✗ (16.9 off)
Pythagorean 57.6% 42.4% - ✗
Efficiency 78.6% 21.4% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 78.4% 21.6% - ✗
Log Adjusted 78.5% 21.5% - ✗

Actual: Minnesota Golden Gophers +14 (69-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Michigan State Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. Davis * 36 6-12 0-1 5-5 4 2 0 1 1 17 11 -
S. Brown * 36 8-14 1-5 2-2 6 2 2 0 5 19 10 -
M. Ager * 27 2-9 1-3 1-2 4 1 0 0 2 6 0 -
M. Trannon * 24 1-1 0-0 3-4 4 2 0 0 0 5 10 -
D. Neitzel 33 1-8 1-3 0-0 2 4 0 0 4 3 -3 -
T. Walton 21 1-2 0-0 0-1 2 2 1 0 1 2 4 -
M. Gray 19 1-2 0-0 1-2 6 2 0 1 1 3 9 -
D. Rowley 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Joseph 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Minnesota Golden Gophers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
V. Grier * 37 4-11 0-0 7-8 9 2 2 0 0 15 17 -
Adam Boone * 35 4-7 2-3 0-0 5 8 2 2 1 10 19 -
J. Stamper * 29 5-6 0-0 2-4 3 3 0 0 3 12 9 -
Z. Puchtel * 29 3-3 0-0 7-8 5 1 2 0 0 13 18 -
J. Abu-Shamala 17 3-8 1-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 7 -1 -
M. Hargrow 16 4-7 0-1 2-3 2 1 0 0 0 10 6 -
R. Tucker 15 1-6 0-3 0-0 2 1 2 0 1 2 0 -
D. Coleman 12 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
S. Tollackson 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 2 -
J. Williams 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter