Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | Northwestern Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 89.5% | 10.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 64.0% | 36.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 65.6% | 34.4% | -3.6 | ✓ (7.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 59.8% | 40.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 83.2% | 16.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 86.9% | 13.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 86.9% | 13.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northwestern Wildcats -11 (66-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Ager * | 38 | 6-13 | 2-5 | 7-9 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 17 | - |
| S. Brown * | 36 | 9-14 | 1-2 | 3-5 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 16 | - |
| D. Neitzel * | 35 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 5-5 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 6 | - |
| P. Davis * | 26 | 7-11 | 1-1 | 1-4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 15 | - |
| M. Trannon * | 22 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Gray | 17 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| T. Walton | 17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 14 | - |
| D. Rowley | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| G. Suton | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Joseph | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Northwestern Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| V. Vukusic * | 37 | 7-12 | 3-5 | 6-7 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 14 | - |
| C. Moore * | 35 | 3-9 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| S. Williams * | 23 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| A. Carson * | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| M. Hachad | 39 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 6-9 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 6 | - |
| T. Doyle | 24 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 4 | - |
| B. Cote | 19 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| M. Jenkins | 15 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | - |
| E. Seacat | 1 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter