Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | Northwestern Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 63.6% | 36.4% | -6.4 | ✓ (4.6 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 62.0% | 38.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 64.9% | 35.1% | -3.4 | ✓ (7.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 58.0% | 42.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 80.0% | 20.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 80.1% | 19.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 57.6% | 42.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northwestern Wildcats -11 (66-77). Ratings: 2005-06 season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maurice Ager * | 38 | 6-13 | 2-5 | 7-9 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 17 | - |
| Shannon Brown * | 36 | 9-14 | 1-2 | 3-5 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 16 | - |
| Drew Neitzel * | 35 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 5-5 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 6 | - |
| P. Davis * | 26 | 7-11 | 1-1 | 1-4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 15 | - |
| Matt Trannon * | 22 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Marquise Gray | 17 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Travis Walton | 17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 14 | - |
| Delco Rowley | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Goran Suton | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Maurice Joseph | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Northwestern Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vedran Vukusic * | 37 | 7-12 | 3-5 | 6-7 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 14 | - |
| Craig Moore * | 35 | 3-9 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Sterling Williams * | 23 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| A. Carson * | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Mohamed Hachad | 39 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 6-9 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Tim Doyle | 24 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 4 | - |
| B. Cote | 19 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Michael Jenkins | 15 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | - |
| E. Seacat | 1 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter