Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Hoosiers | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.7% | 85.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.5% | 68.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 23.1% | 76.9% | +6.6 | ✓ (7.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.3% | 63.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 41.7% | 58.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 21.2% | 78.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 21.1% | 78.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans +14 (87-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Hoosiers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Vaden * | 39 | 7-11 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 16 | - |
| M. Strickland * | 34 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 9 | - |
| M. Killingsworth * | 34 | 13-22 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 27 | 3 | - |
| A.J. Ratliff * | 26 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| E. Calloway | 34 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| R. Wilmont | 20 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| B. Allen | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| S. Kline | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| E. Suhr | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Ager * | 35 | 9-13 | 4-7 | 6-6 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 20 | - |
| S. Brown * | 34 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | - |
| D. Neitzel * | 32 | 2-7 | 0-4 | 1-1 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
| P. Davis * | 29 | 8-11 | 0-1 | 7-7 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 20 | - |
| M. Gray * | 16 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| M. Trannon | 33 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 14 | - |
| T. Walton | 18 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| I. Ibok | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter