Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | Illinois Fighting Illini | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.9% | 55.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 58.7% | 41.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 59.5% | 40.5% | -2.1 | ✓ (2.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.0% | 57.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 12.4% | 87.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 32.2% | 67.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 32.2% | 67.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini -5 (56-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Brown * | 38 | 5-14 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 4 | - |
| M. Ager * | 32 | 5-12 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 4 | - |
| D. Neitzel * | 31 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 11 | - |
| P. Davis * | 27 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 13 | - |
| G. Suton * | 24 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 14 | - |
| M. Trannon | 21 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| T. Walton | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
| D. Rowley | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| I. Ibok | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Augustine * | 40 | 5-9 | 1-1 | 5-8 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 22 | - |
| D. Brown * | 39 | 2-10 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 5 | - |
| R. McBride * | 34 | 4-9 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 6 | - |
| B. Randle * | 30 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 4-8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 8 | - |
| S. Pruitt * | 20 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | - |
| W. Carter | 14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| J. Smith | 12 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -2 | - |
| M. Arnold | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| C. Frazier | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter