Model Predictions
| Model | Arizona Wildcats | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 42.8% | 57.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.4% | 97.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 15.5% | 84.5% | +9.3 | ✓ (6.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.9% | 52.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 32.4% | 67.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 58.7% | 41.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 58.9% | 41.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans +3 (74-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Arizona Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H. Adams * | 41 | 8-17 | 2-5 | 3-6 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 22 | - |
| C. Rodgers * | 38 | 6-16 | 4-10 | 4-5 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 11 | - |
| M. Shakur * | 33 | 4-9 | 0-4 | 2-3 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| I. Radenovic * | 30 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | - |
| K. Walters * | 21 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 1 | - |
| M. Williams | 21 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| B. Brielmaier | 17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| D. Dillon | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J.P. Prince | 8 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| I. Fox | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Tangara | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Ager * | 41 | 8-15 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 20 | 1 | - |
| S. Brown * | 40 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 12 | - |
| D. Neitzel * | 35 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | - |
| P. Davis * | 33 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 10-10 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 22 | - |
| D. Naymick * | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| G. Suton | 29 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| T. Walton | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 9 | - |
| M. Gray | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | - |
* = starter