Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | Iowa Hawkeyes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 78.9% | 21.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.4% | 46.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 48.8% | 51.2% | +0.3 | ✓ (11.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.3% | 50.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 30.3% | 69.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 48.8% | 51.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 48.8% | 51.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Iowa Hawkeyes +12 (66-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Ager * | 38 | 3-11 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | -1 | - |
| S. Brown * | 37 | 6-16 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 3 | - |
| D. Neitzel * | 34 | 4-10 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 2 | - |
| P. Davis * | 31 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 17 | 16 | - |
| M. Trannon * | 24 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| T. Walton | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| D. Rowley | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| M. Gray | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| G. Suton | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Joseph | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Iowa Hawkeyes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Horner * | 38 | 5-9 | 4-6 | 1-3 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 13 | - |
| A. Haluska * | 36 | 3-6 | 0-3 | 5-7 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 15 | - |
| G. Brunner * | 34 | 6-14 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 12 | - |
| M. Henderson * | 32 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | - |
| E. Hansen * | 20 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 14 | - |
| D. Thomas | 20 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| T. Freeman | 14 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| A. Thompson | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter