Model Predictions
| Model | Purdue Boilermakers | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.5% | 86.5% | +15.0 | ✓ (10.0 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 14.9% | 85.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 6.9% | 93.1% | +14.3 | ✓ (10.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 24.2% | 75.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 4.8% | 95.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 4.7% | 95.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 22.5% | 77.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans +25 (77-52). Ratings: 2005-06 season-end ratings.
Purdue Boilermakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Dillon * | 34 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 4 | - |
| C. Lutz * | 32 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | - |
| C. Hartley * | 30 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| S. Heber * | 25 | 3-10 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -1 | - |
| M. White * | 23 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 14 | 3 | - |
| G. Ware | 24 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Marcus Green | 17 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Matt Carroll | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| B. Riddell | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shannon Brown * | 35 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 6-7 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 14 | - |
| M. Ager * | 34 | 7-13 | 0-4 | 2-4 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 7 | - |
| P. Davis * | 32 | 8-12 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 22 | - |
| Drew Neitzel * | 26 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 10 | - |
| M. Trannon * | 21 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | - |
| T. Walton | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Goran Suton | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| D. Rowley | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| M. Joseph | 5 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| M. Gray | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| B. Tibaldi | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Hamo | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| J. Hannon | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Aerts | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| I. Ibok | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Ducre | 1 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| B. Darnton | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter