Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan Wolverines | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.6% | 69.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.4% | 64.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 28.3% | 71.7% | +5.1 | ✓ (13.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.2% | 56.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 11.9% | 88.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 35.8% | 64.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 35.7% | 64.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans +19 (90-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan Wolverines
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Coleman * | 37 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| G. Brown * | 36 | 7-7 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 15 | 10 | - |
| D. Horton * | 35 | 6-17 | 3-7 | 4-4 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 13 | - |
| J. Shepherd * | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| C. Hunter * | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Petway | 29 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| D. Harris | 18 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| C. Sims | 14 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 9 | - |
| J. Smith | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - |
| H. Grooms | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Neitzel * | 38 | 5-11 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 16 | - |
| S. Brown * | 34 | 11-16 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 20 | - |
| M. Ager * | 33 | 7-15 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 8 | - |
| P. Davis * | 31 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 19 | - |
| M. Trannon * | 22 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 13 | - |
| D. Rowley | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| T. Walton | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Gray | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| D. Ducre | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| A. Hamo | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| I. Ibok | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Aerts | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| M. Joseph | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| G. Suton | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter