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Louisville

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Louisville Cardinals, Louisville
Program History
Coach: Pat Kelsey

2026 Team Stats (35 games)

84.3
PPG
72.5
Opp
+11.8
Margin
47.0%
FG%
36.0%
3P%
76.1%
FT%
38.3
RPG
17.1
APG
11.9
TO
81.7
Pace
88.5
AdjO
67.0
AdjD
#14
Rank

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1287 (#20) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1242 (#34) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +109 elo More → 1061 (#87) HCA +109 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.2 More → +21.7 (#13) HCA +2.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.5 More → +29.6 (#26) HCA +2.5
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.849 (#15) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +19.7 More → 0.912 (#43) NetEff +19.7
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +27.7 More → 0.961 (#15) AdjNet +27.7
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +28.1 More → 0.963 (#13) AdjNet +28.1
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 88.5 | AdjD 67.0 More → 0.877 (#14) AdjO 88.5 | AdjD 67.0
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 80.0 | AdjD 69.1 More → 0.730 (#27) AdjO 80.0 | AdjD 69.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.944 (#18) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.921 (#21) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 105 | GP 35 More → 1272 (#38) RD 105 | GP 35

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-03 vs South Carolina State Bulldogs W 104 - 45
2025-11-06 vs Jackson State Tigers W 106 - 70
2025-11-11 vs Kentucky Wildcats W 96 - 88
2025-11-15 vs Ohio Bobcats W 106 - 81
2025-11-21 @ Cincinnati Bearcats W 74 - 64
2025-11-24 vs Eastern Michigan Eagles W 87 - 46
2025-11-26 vs NJIT Highlanders W 104 - 47
2025-12-03 @ Arkansas Razorbacks L 80 - 89
2025-12-06 vs Indiana Hoosiers W 87 - 78
2025-12-13 vs Memphis Tigers W 99 - 73
2025-12-16 @ Tennessee Volunteers L 62 - 83
2025-12-20 vs Montana Grizzlies W 94 - 54
2025-12-30 @ California Golden Bears W 90 - 70
2026-01-02 @ Stanford Cardinal L 76 - 80
2026-01-06 vs Duke Blue Devils L 73 - 84
2026-01-10 vs Boston College Eagles W 75 - 62
2026-01-13 vs Virginia Cavaliers L 70 - 79
2026-01-17 @ Pittsburgh Panthers W 100 - 59
2026-01-24 vs Virginia Tech Hokies W 85 - 71
2026-01-26 @ Duke Blue Devils L 52 - 83
2026-01-31 vs SMU Mustangs W 88 - 74
2026-02-04 vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish W 76 - 65
2026-02-07 @ Wake Forest Demon Deacons W 88 - 80
2026-02-09 vs NC State Wolfpack W 118 - 77
2026-02-14 @ Baylor Bears W 82 - 71
2026-02-17 @ SMU Mustangs L 85 - 95
2026-02-21 vs Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets W 87 - 70
2026-02-23 @ North Carolina Tar Heels L 74 - 77
2026-02-28 @ Clemson Tigers L 75 - 80
2026-03-03 vs Syracuse Orange W 77 - 62
2026-03-07 @ Miami Hurricanes W 92 - 89
2026-03-11 vs SMU Mustangs W 62 - 58
2026-03-12 @ Miami Hurricanes L 73 - 78
2026-03-19 vs South Florida Bulls W 83 - 79
2026-03-21 @ Michigan State Spartans L 69 - 77

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
R. Conwell R. Conwell G 34 30.9 18.8 4.8 2.7 1.1 0.2 2.1 14.5 10.9 138 6.9 9.8 40.8 34.5 83.2 0.63 57.1 52.1
Mikel Brown Jr. Mikel Brown Jr. - 21 29.2 18.2 3.3 4.7 1.2 0.1 3.1 13.0 11.5 120 9.2 14.2 41.0 34.4 84.4 1.02 58.5 51.1
J. Hadley J. Hadley - 34 28.0 11.5 5.1 1.8 1.0 0.3 0.9 7.6 11.1 143 7.2 11.1 56.2 44.0 70.5 0.93 65.4 63.3
I. McKneely I. McKneely - 35 29.0 10.9 3.0 1.4 0.5 0.1 0.9 8.4 6.7 205 8.9 14.2 41.6 39.5 86.0 1.5 60.8 58.0
Sananda Fru Sananda Fru - 35 22.0 9.0 6.1 1.2 0.5 1.4 1.4 4.9 12.0 185 8.8 16.3 75.3 50.0 61.1 1.6 75.1 76.5
A. Wooley A. Wooley - 35 22.5 8.7 3.9 1.8 0.7 0.1 1.1 6.5 7.4 204 9.7 17.7 45.0 35.0 77.8 1.9 58.1 53.9
K. Rooths K. Rooths - 31 15.9 5.3 4.3 1.0 0.6 0.5 0.7 4.1 6.7 145 8.5 21.0 44.9 22.4 64.9 1.29 53.9 50.0
A. Khalifa A. Khalifa - 35 11.9 3.3 1.9 2.5 0.3 0.4 0.9 2.7 4.7 114 5.4 18.3 43.8 40.9 62.5 1.01 58.3 57.8
K. Rodgers K. Rodgers - 34 14.2 3.3 2.5 1.5 0.9 0.1 0.8 2.3 5.3 152 7.6 21.9 46.8 34.4 87.9 1.26 61.2 53.9
Vangelis Zougris Vangelis Zougris - 27 9.0 2.6 2.4 0.6 0.3 0.2 0.8 1.8 3.6 37 2.6 14.7 57.1 0 65.2 0.16 60.0 57.1
K. Pryor K. Pryor - 23 6.5 2.2 1.8 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.5 2.1 2.3 43 3.3 18.0 41.7 22.7 50.0 0.34 47.9 46.9
C. Sherman C. Sherman - 10 1.1 1.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.9 0.3 4 0.6 24.1 44.4 44.4 0 0.05 66.7 66.7
S. Legg S. Legg - 9 0.9 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.7 4 0.7 34.3 50.0 33.3 100.0 0.04 71.7 62.5
Will Hanke Will Hanke - 10 1.0 0.2 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.3 0.4 2 0.3 12.7 33.3 0 0 0.01 33.3 33.3
L. Johnson L. Johnson G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - -17 -3.4 -13.9 - - - 0.23 - -
Mouhamed Camara Mouhamed Camara F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG