🐻⬇️🏀

@
2025-12-30

Model Predictions

Model Louisville Cardinals California Golden Bears Spread Result
Elo 75.6% 24.4% -
Bradley-Terry 52.0% 48.0% -
Margin 84.1% 15.9% -9.2 (10.8 off)
Pythagorean 53.3% 46.7% -
Efficiency 70.2% 29.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 85.2% 14.8% -
Log Adjusted 85.6% 14.4% -
Points Off/Def 66.9% 33.1% -

Actual: California Golden Bears -20 (70-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Louisville Cardinals

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
I. McKneely 35 4-11 3-9 0-0 1 3 0 0 1 11 3 +16.9
J. Hadley 31 4-7 1-2 2-2 9 3 1 1 1 11 17 +7.4
A. Wooley 27 9-14 3-7 0-0 4 2 0 0 0 21 13 +8.4
S. Fru 26 4-8 0-1 5-7 14 2 0 2 1 13 22 +18.1
R. Conwell 25 8-16 6-13 4-4 4 4 2 0 2 26 18 +8.8
K. Rodgers 22 1-4 1-3 0-0 5 1 0 1 2 3 4 +16.8
K. Rooths 18 2-4 0-0 1-1 5 0 1 1 1 5 7 +16.2
A. Khalifa 13 0-4 0-2 0-0 4 4 0 0 1 0 3 +7.5
V. Zougris 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -9.2

California Golden Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Bell 36 5-11 3-7 7-8 1 2 2 1 1 20 14 -9.8
D. Ames 33 3-12 1-4 4-4 2 4 0 1 1 11 5 -20.9
J. Camden 32 1-10 1-7 0-1 5 1 0 0 1 3 -2 -9.0
J. Pippen 31 5-14 3-7 4-4 3 5 2 2 0 17 15 -19.9
L. Dort 29 3-6 0-0 6-9 9 0 1 0 2 12 14 -11.4
S. Carr 18 2-4 0-0 0-1 1 1 0 0 1 4 1 +1.8
M. Ilic 11 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 0 0 4 -5.5
N. Dorsey 10 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -5.7

* = starter