Model Predictions
| Model | NC State Wolfpack | Louisville Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 15.1% | 84.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.8% | 62.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 20.9% | 79.1% | +7.3 | ✓ (33.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.3% | 56.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 7.8% | 92.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 26.1% | 73.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 25.6% | 74.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.9% | 67.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Louisville Cardinals +41 (118-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Holloman | 30 | 7-13 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 8 | - |
| M. Able | 28 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Dar. Williams | 28 | 3-13 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| P. McNeil | 26 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -6 | - |
| V. Lubin | 26 | 7-10 | 0-1 | 6-7 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 17 | - |
| Q. Copeland | 21 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 3 | - |
| T. Arceneaux | 17 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| M. Sagnia | 14 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -2 | - |
| A. Breed | 6 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| S. Ebube | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Brown Jr. | 34 | 14-23 | 10-16 | 7-7 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 45 | 34 | - |
| R. Conwell | 29 | 10-14 | 5-6 | 6-7 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 31 | 28 | - |
| I. McKneely | 26 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| J. Hadley | 22 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| S. Fru | 18 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| K. Rooths | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| A. Khalifa | 12 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| A. Wooley | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| K. Rodgers | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 10 | - |
| V. Zougris | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| K. Pryor | 9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| W. Hanke | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Sherman | 1 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| S. Legg | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter