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2025-12-06

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Hoosiers Louisville Cardinals Spread Result
Elo 17.3% 82.7% -
Bradley-Terry 25.7% 74.3% -
Margin 17.9% 82.1% +8.4 (0.6 off)
Pythagorean 42.7% 57.3% -
Efficiency 9.9% 90.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 21.6% 78.4% -
Log Adjusted 21.2% 78.8% -
Points Off/Def 30.7% 69.3% -

Actual: Louisville Cardinals +9 (87-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Hoosiers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Wilkerson 36 5-15 2-9 0-0 1 4 2 0 2 12 2 -7.1
T. DeVries 35 5-14 4-11 12-13 5 1 0 0 3 26 15 -3.5
C. Enright 34 1-5 0-3 0-0 3 4 1 0 1 2 4 -15.4
R. Bailey 24 3-5 0-1 2-3 5 2 0 0 0 8 10 +3.1
T. Conerway 21 2-7 0-2 1-2 3 1 1 1 5 5 -1 -4.9
S. Alexis 17 3-7 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 0 0 6 5 -15.8
T. Sisley 17 2-3 0-1 0-1 1 0 0 0 0 4 2 -23.0
N. Dorn 16 5-7 5-7 0-0 5 0 0 0 1 15 12 +5.0
J. Miles 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +0.0

Louisville Cardinals

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Hadley 33 6-13 1-5 2-2 6 1 1 0 0 15 10 +19.2
R. Conwell 31 4-10 3-7 10-11 4 2 1 1 2 21 17 +3.3
I. McKneely 30 5-9 5-9 0-0 3 1 2 0 2 15 10 +17.2
S. Fru 30 3-3 1-1 5-7 7 1 3 1 5 12 16 +17.5
M. Brown Jr. 27 2-8 0-4 5-5 1 3 0 0 1 9 4 +9.2
A. Wooley 19 0-3 0-0 0-0 6 2 0 0 0 0 5 +10.1
K. Rodgers 13 4-4 2-2 2-2 2 1 1 1 1 12 12 +5.4
K. Rooths 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 1 0 4 -5.6
A. Khalifa 6 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 3 0 0 0 3 4 +2.4
K. Pryor 4 0-2 0-1 0-1 2 0 0 2 1 0 1 -4.6

* = starter