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2026-01-17

Model Predictions

Model Louisville Cardinals Pittsburgh Panthers Spread Result
Elo 75.6% 24.4% -
Bradley-Terry 74.1% 25.9% -
Margin 89.7% 10.3% -11.9 (29.1 off)
Pythagorean 62.5% 37.5% -
Efficiency 94.5% 5.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 90.4% 9.6% -
Log Adjusted 90.6% 9.4% -
Points Off/Def 72.8% 27.2% -

Actual: Pittsburgh Panthers -41 (59-100). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Louisville Cardinals

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
I. McKneely 34 3-8 3-6 2-3 4 2 0 0 0 11 9 +24.4
J. Hadley 31 7-9 1-1 2-2 7 5 2 1 2 17 21 +20.2
R. Conwell 30 9-16 5-11 1-1 6 6 1 0 2 24 19 +25.6
A. Wooley 26 3-5 2-4 4-4 2 2 1 0 1 12 11 +33.9
S. Fru 23 6-7 0-0 0-0 5 2 1 1 1 12 13 +35.5
K. Rodgers 19 3-4 1-1 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 7 5 +4.7
A. Khalifa 16 3-4 3-4 0-0 2 4 0 0 0 9 11 -2.0
V. Zougris 15 2-2 0-0 4-5 5 2 0 0 1 8 12 +13.7
K. Pryor 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 +4.8
W. Hanke 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2.0
C. Sherman 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -2.0

Pittsburgh Panthers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Corhen 34 2-5 0-1 0-0 5 4 0 0 1 4 7 -25.9
R. Siulepa 29 3-10 2-6 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 8 0 -19.3
B. Dunning Jr. 29 4-7 0-1 1-3 6 0 0 1 1 9 8 -22.9
D. Minor 27 2-4 1-3 2-2 3 7 2 0 2 7 13 -25.6
B. Cummings 26 4-10 1-3 2-4 0 1 1 0 0 11 3 -19.0
O. Witherspoon 23 2-8 1-4 0-0 1 0 0 1 2 5 -3 -11.9
N. Indrusaitis 22 3-9 2-6 0-2 2 0 2 0 1 8 2 -19.3
K. Mullen 6 1-2 0-0 3-3 1 0 0 0 0 5 4 -4.4
M. Moore 4 0-0 0-0 2-2 2 1 0 0 1 2 4 -0.8

* = starter