Model Predictions
| Model | Louisville Cardinals | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 50.8% | 49.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.2% | 62.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 58.8% | 41.2% | -2.0 | ✗ (5.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.3% | 50.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 10.9% | 89.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 61.3% | 38.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 61.6% | 38.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.5% | 48.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +3 (77-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Brown Jr. | 33 | 9-25 | 6-14 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 3 | - |
| J. Hadley | 31 | 6-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 13 | - |
| R. Conwell | 29 | 7-19 | 4-11 | 5-5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 8 | - |
| I. McKneely | 24 | 0-5 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K. Rooths | 21 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | - |
| S. Fru | 16 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 14 | - |
| V. Zougris | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | - |
| A. Wooley | 12 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| A. Khalifa | 11 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -4 | - |
| K. Rodgers | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| K. Pryor | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Trimble | 37 | 11-16 | 1-3 | 7-11 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 30 | 20 | - |
| J. Stevenson | 33 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 1-4 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 14 | - |
| H. Veesaar | 30 | 6-12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 3 | - |
| L. Bogavac | 29 | 5-10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 6 | - |
| D. Dixon | 24 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Z. High | 16 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Kyan. Evans | 16 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| J. Powell | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Young | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter