Model Predictions
| Model | Louisville Cardinals | Arkansas Razorbacks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.0% | 70.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.8% | 62.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 46.6% | 53.4% | +0.8 | ✓ (8.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.3% | 50.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 3.8% | 96.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 53.4% | 46.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 53.8% | 46.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.3% | 54.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arkansas Razorbacks +9 (89-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Brown Jr. | 34 | 7-19 | 2-13 | 6-10 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 9 | -2.6 |
| R. Conwell | 33 | 4-16 | 3-12 | 4-4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 15 | -1 | -8.1 |
| I. McKneely | 30 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 8 | -8.2 |
| S. Fru | 29 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 15 | -0.6 |
| J. Hadley | 28 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | -2.3 |
| A. Wooley | 14 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | +4.8 |
| K. Rodgers | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -7.6 |
| K. Rooths | 9 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -2.7 |
| A. Khalifa | 8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -8.3 |
| K. Pryor | 6 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -1.8 |
Arkansas Razorbacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Acuff Jr. | 36 | 6-18 | 0-4 | 5-7 | 5 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 10 | +15.6 |
| T. Brazile | 32 | 8-11 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 17 | +6.1 |
| B. Richmond III | 27 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 11 | +19.7 |
| M. Thomas | 25 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 8-9 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 13 | +10.8 |
| N. Pringle | 22 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | +6.5 |
| K. Knox | 21 | 2-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | -5.8 |
| D.J. Wagner | 19 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -2 | -4.8 |
| M. Ewin | 18 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 19 | +4.7 |
* = starter