Model Predictions
| Model | Kentucky Wildcats | Louisville Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.9% | 64.1% | - | β |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.9% | 63.1% | - | β |
| Margin | 25.7% | 74.3% | +5.8 | β (2.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.7% | 57.3% | - | β |
| Efficiency | 10.4% | 89.6% | - | β |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 32.2% | 67.8% | - | β |
| Log Adjusted | 32.0% | 68.0% | - | β |
| Points Off/Def | 36.1% | 63.9% | - | β |
Actual: Louisville Cardinals +8 (96-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Kentucky Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Aberdeen * | 31 | 10-20 | 4-10 | 2-3 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 16 | +3.4 |
| O. Oweh * | 28 | 4-13 | 1-6 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 4 | -13.5 |
| C. Chandler * | 25 | 4-7 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 11 | -7.9 |
| B. Garrison * | 23 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | -1.5 |
| M. Dioubate * | 18 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | -13.8 |
| J. Lowe | 30 | 2-8 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 6 | -1.6 |
| M. Moreno | 17 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | -4.1 |
| K. Williams | 12 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 8 | +12.0 |
| A. JelaviΔ | 10 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| J. Johnson | 6 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | +3.1 |
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Brown Jr. * | 33 | 8-16 | 3-10 | 10-11 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 29 | 19 | +2.2 |
| R. Conwell * | 32 | 6-16 | 4-10 | 8-12 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 13 | +8.4 |
| I. McKneely * | 31 | 3-8 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | +5.3 |
| S. Fru * | 25 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 17 | +11.9 |
| K. Rooths * | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.3 |
| J. Hadley | 27 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 0-4 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 16 | +9.7 |
| A. Wooley | 17 | 3-11 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 1 | +4.8 |
| A. Khalifa | 15 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | -2.4 |
| K. Rodgers | 7 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | +6.3 |
| K. Pryor | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -5.0 |
* = starter