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2026-01-02

Model Predictions

Model Louisville Cardinals Stanford Cardinal Spread Result
Elo 73.4% 26.6% -
Bradley-Terry 52.9% 47.1% -
Margin 81.9% 18.1% -8.3 (12.3 off)
Pythagorean 55.0% 45.0% -
Efficiency 85.0% 15.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 85.6% 14.4% -
Log Adjusted 85.9% 14.1% -
Points Off/Def 65.8% 34.2% -

Actual: Stanford Cardinal +4 (80-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Louisville Cardinals

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
I. McKneely 37 5-11 3-8 4-4 3 3 1 0 2 17 11 -1.0
R. Conwell 35 6-21 2-14 4-6 7 2 1 0 4 18 3 -7.9
J. Hadley 32 5-9 0-1 4-4 7 0 1 1 0 14 14 -1.0
K. Rooths 27 3-7 1-3 0-0 4 0 1 1 0 7 6 -5.6
S. Fru 27 6-6 0-0 3-3 8 1 0 2 0 15 20 -11.5
A. Wooley 16 1-5 0-1 1-2 1 1 0 1 2 3 -1 -4.0
K. Rodgers 13 0-1 0-0 2-2 2 1 0 0 1 2 3 -9.5
A. Khalifa 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 3 0 1 3 0 5 +5.3

Stanford Cardinal

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Okorie 38 9-18 2-5 8-10 3 3 2 0 0 28 18 +11.3
C. Okpara 30 5-11 2-3 5-9 8 2 2 2 4 17 16 +8.7
R. Agarwal 29 4-7 4-4 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 12 5 +0.0
O. Giltay 26 0-3 0-0 1-2 4 0 1 2 0 1 5 +1.2
B. Gealer 24 2-6 0-3 3-4 0 0 1 0 1 7 1 -4.2
J. Dent-Smith 19 2-5 1-3 4-6 1 0 1 0 0 9 6 +11.9
A. Cammann 16 1-2 0-1 0-0 5 1 0 0 1 2 5 +9.6
AJ Rohosy 14 2-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 4 2 +5.1
D. Young 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.6

* = starter