🐻⬇️🏀

@
2026-01-10

Model Predictions

Model Boston College Eagles Louisville Cardinals Spread Result
Elo 8.9% 91.1% -
Bradley-Terry 9.3% 90.7% -
Margin 2.0% 98.0% +21.5 (8.5 off)
Pythagorean 27.2% 72.8% -
Efficiency 6.6% 93.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% -
Points Off/Def 12.3% 87.7% -

Actual: Louisville Cardinals +13 (75-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boston College Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
F. Payne 36 9-15 4-7 0-0 5 4 1 0 0 22 17 -8.4
D. Hand Jr. 33 3-17 3-10 3-5 3 1 3 0 2 12 0 -1.1
B. Kapke 32 4-9 0-3 2-6 7 1 1 0 0 10 10 -1.5
A. Shaw 30 0-2 0-0 1-2 6 2 1 0 0 1 8 -9.3
L. Toews 21 4-8 2-4 1-2 0 2 0 0 1 11 4 -1.1
C. Forte 15 0-3 0-2 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 0 1 -2.1
J. Hastings 14 1-2 0-0 0-1 4 0 0 1 1 2 4 +2.6
C. Steger 13 2-5 0-1 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 4 3 -10.9
M. Radunovic 6 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -2.3

Louisville Cardinals

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Wooley 36 5-12 0-4 6-8 6 4 1 0 1 16 14 +13.5
I. McKneely 33 3-10 2-8 5-5 1 2 0 0 0 13 6 +14.3
J. Hadley 30 4-7 1-1 2-2 4 3 0 0 2 11 9 -1.0
K. Rodgers 29 2-4 1-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 3 5 1 +0.6
S. Fru 28 8-9 1-1 2-5 13 1 1 2 3 19 24 +20.6
K. Rooths 25 1-3 0-1 1-2 11 1 1 2 2 3 13 +0.9
A. Khalifa 10 1-4 1-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 3 1 -5.8
K. Pryor 6 0-1 0-1 2-2 3 0 0 0 2 2 2 +1.3
V. Zougris 3 1-1 0-0 1-1 1 0 0 0 0 3 3 -4.2

* = starter