Model Predictions
| Model | Ohio Bobcats | Louisville Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 4.2% | 95.8% | +22.2 | ✓ (2.8 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 11.7% | 88.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 0.6% | 99.4% | +28.2 | ✓ (3.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 28.0% | 72.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 7.8% | 92.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Louisville Cardinals +25 (106-81). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
Ohio Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson Paveletzke * | 37 | 8-14 | 3-4 | 9-10 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 28 | 16 | - |
| Ajay Sheldon * | 35 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 11 | - |
| JJ Kelly * | 29 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Javan Simmons * | 29 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Aidan Hadaway * | 26 | 3-10 | 0-6 | 6-6 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Dior Conners | 19 | 4-10 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 1 | - |
| Kiir Kuany | 13 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Ayden Evans | 12 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mikel Brown Jr. * | 28 | 5-11 | 3-6 | 6-8 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 13 | - |
| Ryan Conwell * | 27 | 7-14 | 5-10 | 3-4 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 18 | - |
| Isaac McKneely * | 25 | 5-11 | 4-10 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 9 | - |
| J'Vonne Hadley * | 25 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 2-5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Sananda Fru * | 21 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 15 | - |
| Adrian Wooley | 24 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Kobe Rodgers | 14 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Khani Rooths | 13 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Aly Khalifa | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Kasean Pryor | 7 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Vangelis Zougris | 5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Will Hanke | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Cole Sherman | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Spencer Legg | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter