Model Predictions
| Model | Ohio Bobcats | Louisville Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 6.8% | 93.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 14.1% | 85.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 0.6% | 99.4% | +28.1 | ✓ (3.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 28.0% | 72.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 5.8% | 94.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 7.0% | 93.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Louisville Cardinals +25 (106-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Ohio Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Paveletzke * | 37 | 8-14 | 3-4 | 9-10 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 28 | 16 | -7.3 |
| A. Sheldon * | 35 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -4.2 |
| J. Kelly * | 29 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 12 | -6.5 |
| J. Simmons * | 29 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 5 | -4.9 |
| A. Hadaway * | 26 | 3-10 | 0-6 | 6-6 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 10 | -5.0 |
| D. Conners | 19 | 4-10 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 1 | -5.3 |
| K. Kuany | 13 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | -2.8 |
| A. Evans | 12 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -3.0 |
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Brown Jr. * | 28 | 5-11 | 3-6 | 6-8 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 13 | +5.6 |
| R. Conwell * | 27 | 7-14 | 5-10 | 3-4 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 18 | +6.7 |
| J. Hadley * | 25 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 2-5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 12 | +7.1 |
| I. McKneely * | 25 | 5-11 | 4-10 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 9 | +8.3 |
| S. Fru * | 21 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 15 | +1.5 |
| A. Wooley | 24 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 13 | +3.7 |
| K. Rodgers | 14 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 10 | +2.9 |
| K. Rooths | 13 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | +0.8 |
| A. Khalifa | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +5.2 |
| K. Pryor | 7 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | -0.7 |
| V. Zougris | 5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.6 |
| S. Legg | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.0 |
| C. Sherman | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.0 |
| W. Hanke | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.0 |
* = starter