Model Predictions
| Model | Louisville Cardinals | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.8% | 66.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.5% | 69.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 37.1% | 62.9% | +2.9 | ✓ (5.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.3% | 52.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 22.0% | 78.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 37.8% | 62.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 37.9% | 62.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.8% | 58.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans +8 (77-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| I. McKneely | 35 | 3-9 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| R. Conwell | 34 | 7-15 | 5-11 | 2-4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 12 | - |
| J. Hadley | 30 | 1-8 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| A. Wooley | 26 | 7-10 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 13 | - |
| K. Rodgers | 24 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| S. Fru | 18 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | - |
| V. Zougris | 14 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| A. Khalifa | 14 | 3-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | - |
| K. Rooths | 4 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| K. Pryor | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Fears Jr. | 37 | 3-13 | 1-4 | 5-7 | 3 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 14 | - |
| C. Carr | 33 | 8-13 | 2-4 | 3-5 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 20 | - |
| C. Cooper | 30 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 8 | - |
| J. Kohler | 28 | 3-9 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| J. Scott | 20 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 2 | - |
| T. Fort | 19 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 3-3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 14 | - |
| C. Ward | 17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| K. Teng | 13 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| D. Wojcik | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter