Model Predictions
| Model | Louisville Cardinals | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.2% | 73.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.1% | 68.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 37.0% | 63.0% | +2.9 | ✓ (5.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.3% | 52.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 50.8% | 49.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 37.7% | 62.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 37.8% | 62.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.3% | 57.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans +8 (77-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaac McKneely | 35 | 3-9 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | -0.4 |
| Ryan Conwell | 34 | 7-15 | 5-11 | 2-4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 12 | +6.8 |
| J'Vonne Hadley | 30 | 1-8 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +4.2 |
| Adrian Wooley | 26 | 7-10 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 13 | +0.7 |
| Kobe Rodgers | 24 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -14.7 |
| Sananda Fru | 18 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | +1.5 |
| Aly Khalifa | 14 | 3-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | +5.7 |
| Vangelis Zougris | 14 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 7 | -11.0 |
| Khani Rooths | 4 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -8.1 |
| Kasean Pryor | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -4.4 |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Fears Jr. | 37 | 3-13 | 1-4 | 5-7 | 3 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 14 | +14.9 |
| Coen Carr | 33 | 8-13 | 2-4 | 3-5 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 20 | +2.5 |
| Carson Cooper | 30 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 8 | +6.4 |
| Jaxon Kohler | 28 | 3-9 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | +15.2 |
| Jordan Scott | 20 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 2 | +9.5 |
| Trey Fort | 19 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 3-3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 14 | -0.3 |
| Cameron Ward | 17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | +0.9 |
| Kur Teng | 13 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | +4.0 |
| Denham Wojcik | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.2 |
* = starter