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SMU Mustangs 58
@
Louisville Cardinals 62
2026-03-11

Model Predictions

Model SMU Mustangs Louisville Cardinals Spread Result
Elo 13.9% 86.1% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 37.2% 62.8% - ✓
Margin 17.6% 82.4% +8.5 ✓ (4.5 off)
Pythagorean 42.4% 57.6% - ✓
Efficiency 33.1% 66.9% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 19.2% 80.8% - ✓
Log Adjusted 19.0% 81.0% - ✓
Points Off/Def 30.4% 69.6% - ✓

Actual: Louisville Cardinals +4 (62-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.

SMU Mustangs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Pierre Jr. 39 6-10 5-9 0-0 4 0 0 0 4 17 7 -
B. Miller 38 4-17 0-8 0-0 8 4 1 0 2 8 2 -
J. Toombs 32 6-11 0-1 1-2 9 2 3 3 1 13 18 -
S. Yigitoglu 31 1-3 0-0 0-1 7 3 0 1 3 2 7 -
C. Washington 27 4-7 2-4 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 10 5 -
J. O'Neal Jr. 15 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 0 -1 -
S. Walters 11 2-4 1-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 5 3 -
B.J. Davis-Ray 7 1-2 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 2 -

Louisville Cardinals

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
I. McKneely 39 2-9 2-7 4-5 7 5 1 0 1 10 13 -
A. Wooley 36 3-9 1-5 7-8 6 2 0 0 0 14 13 -
J. Hadley 34 4-8 1-3 0-0 4 0 3 0 1 9 7 -
R. Conwell 33 6-15 2-9 2-2 3 0 0 0 5 16 -1 -
V. Zougris 18 3-4 0-0 1-3 4 1 0 0 1 7 7 -
S. Fru 15 1-1 0-0 0-2 2 0 0 0 1 2 2 -
K. Rodgers 13 1-4 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 2 -1 -
K. Rooths 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 0 3 -
A. Khalifa 6 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 1 0 2 1 -

* = starter