Model Predictions
| Model | Louisville Cardinals | SMU Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 75.7% | 24.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.7% | 51.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 67.4% | 32.6% | -4.0 | ✗ (14.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.6% | 48.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 60.9% | 39.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 74.8% | 25.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 75.0% | 25.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 57.0% | 43.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: SMU Mustangs +10 (95-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Brown Jr. | 35 | 11-18 | 4-8 | 3-3 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 29 | 17 | - |
| R. Conwell | 33 | 4-16 | 2-11 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 0 | - |
| J. Hadley | 31 | 6-10 | 2-3 | 0-2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 14 | - |
| I. McKneely | 25 | 2-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| S. Fru | 20 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 11 | - |
| A. Wooley | 15 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| A. Khalifa | 15 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| K. Rooths | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K. Rodgers | 8 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| V. Zougris | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| K. Pryor | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
SMU Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Miller | 37 | 9-14 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 21 | - |
| B.J. Edwards | 34 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 13 | - |
| J. Pierre Jr. | 33 | 10-19 | 1-6 | 4-5 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 25 | 14 | - |
| C. Washington | 29 | 7-9 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 17 | - |
| S. Yigitoglu | 26 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 6 | - |
| J. O'Neal Jr. | 13 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| J. Toombs | 13 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| S. Walters | 11 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| B.J. Davis-Ray | 3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| M. Holmes | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter