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2026-01-24

Model Predictions

Model Virginia Tech Hokies Louisville Cardinals Spread Result
Elo 15.8% 84.2% -
Bradley-Terry 37.9% 62.1% -
Margin 10.2% 89.8% +12.0 (2.0 off)
Pythagorean 40.1% 59.9% -
Efficiency 4.4% 95.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 12.1% 87.9% -
Log Adjusted 11.7% 88.3% -
Points Off/Def 24.8% 75.2% -

Actual: Louisville Cardinals +14 (85-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Virginia Tech Hokies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Hammond 36 6-11 4-5 2-2 2 5 2 0 2 18 14 -10.2
J. Bedford 35 8-15 6-8 2-2 5 3 2 0 0 24 19 -18.0
A. Hansberry 32 4-12 3-6 1-2 7 2 1 1 7 12 4 -16.1
T. Lawal 30 1-7 0-3 0-2 9 1 0 5 1 2 9 -15.8
N. Avdalas 23 1-8 0-2 0-0 2 4 0 1 1 2 0 -11.8
J. Schutt 22 3-5 3-5 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 9 6 -3.3
C. Gurdak 14 1-1 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 2 5 -
A. Dorn 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 +1.8
I. Pasha 4 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -3 -10.4

Louisville Cardinals

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Hadley 32 5-8 1-2 3-3 6 2 1 0 2 14 13 +15.0
R. Conwell 32 5-14 4-11 1-1 6 1 0 0 1 15 7 +8.8
M. Brown Jr. 29 7-11 3-6 3-4 3 6 1 0 4 20 15 +13.0
I. McKneely 28 3-9 2-7 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 8 1 +12.6
S. Fru 27 5-8 1-2 2-3 10 2 1 1 2 13 17 +16.1
A. Wooley 21 2-6 1-2 1-2 3 2 3 0 1 6 7 +15.3
A. Khalifa 14 1-3 1-3 0-0 5 3 0 0 1 3 7 +1.9
K. Rodgers 11 3-4 0-0 0-0 1 0 2 0 0 6 5 +4.7
V. Zougris 6 0-3 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 2 0 0 +2.6

* = starter