Model Predictions
| Model | Louisville Cardinals | Cincinnati Bearcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 63.5% | 36.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 66.6% | 33.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 73.9% | 26.1% | -5.7 | ✓ (4.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.9% | 48.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 97.0% | 3.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 77.5% | 22.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 77.9% | 22.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 60.4% | 39.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cincinnati Bearcats -10 (64-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Conwell * | 34 | 8-15 | 5-10 | 4-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 16 | +2.3 |
| M. Brown Jr. * | 31 | 4-15 | 2-9 | 12-14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 17 | +0.7 |
| I. McKneely * | 26 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | +0.5 |
| S. Fru * | 23 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 10 | +12.5 |
| J. Hadley * | 20 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -4.6 |
| A. Wooley | 20 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | +14.9 |
| A. Khalifa | 15 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -5.5 |
| K. Rooths | 13 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | +10.1 |
| K. Pryor | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +3.7 |
| K. Rodgers | 9 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +7.6 |
Cincinnati Bearcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Thomas * | 35 | 3-14 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 6 | -8.7 |
| S. Abaev * | 27 | 4-16 | 3-11 | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | -1 | -4.5 |
| M. Thiam * | 27 | 5-7 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 16 | -6.4 |
| B. Miller * | 25 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 15 | -0.6 |
| K. Kriisa * | 25 | 2-7 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | -9.2 |
| S. Harris | 20 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | -4.3 |
| J. Celestine | 18 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | +1.9 |
| T. McKinley | 16 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -3.7 |
| K. Tillery | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3.5 |
* = starter