🐻⬇️🏀

@
2026-02-14

Model Predictions

Model Louisville Cardinals Baylor Bears Spread Result
Elo 79.4% 20.6% -
Bradley-Terry 57.2% 42.8% -
Margin 72.0% 28.0% -5.2 (5.8 off)
Pythagorean 54.6% 45.4% -
Efficiency 96.9% 3.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 78.3% 21.7% -
Log Adjusted 78.6% 21.4% -
Points Off/Def 60.1% 39.9% -

Actual: Baylor Bears -11 (71-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Louisville Cardinals

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Brown Jr. 35 8-14 4-5 9-9 3 6 5 0 6 29 23 -
J. Hadley 31 7-10 2-2 4-4 5 3 1 0 0 20 19 -
R. Conwell 31 4-10 1-5 5-7 4 4 0 0 2 14 10 -
S. Fru 27 4-4 0-0 0-0 7 1 0 2 0 8 14 -
K. Rooths 24 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 2 0 0 5 -
I. McKneely 19 1-4 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 -2 -
A. Khalifa 13 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 3 0 0 2 0 2 -
A. Wooley 10 3-4 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 7 2 -
K. Pryor 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 1 -
K. Rodgers 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Baylor Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Yessoufou 36 5-16 1-7 5-6 4 1 4 0 1 16 8 -
C. Carr 35 1-11 1-7 2-2 3 3 0 2 5 5 -3 -
O. Agbim 33 0-7 0-4 4-4 5 2 1 0 2 4 3 -
I. Williams IV 29 8-12 0-3 4-5 2 3 1 1 1 20 14 -
M. Rataj 27 5-9 0-1 1-2 4 1 1 0 0 11 8 -
C. Powell 22 1-3 0-0 6-8 3 0 0 0 0 8 8 -
J. Nnaji 18 2-2 0-0 3-3 4 0 0 2 0 7 11 -
W. Kuykendall 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter