Model Predictions
| Model | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | Louisville Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.1% | 88.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 18.0% | 82.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 5.3% | 94.7% | +15.9 | ✓ (4.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 32.5% | 67.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 4.4% | 95.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 4.1% | 95.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 18.3% | 81.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Louisville Cardinals +11 (76-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Certa | 35 | 6-18 | 5-14 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 4 | - |
| B. Shrewsberry | 34 | 3-11 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | - |
| B. Koehler | 32 | 4-10 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 10 | - |
| J. Haralson | 29 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 6 | - |
| C. Towt | 25 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 12 | - |
| L. Imes | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| S. Mohammed | 14 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| G. Sundra | 13 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| R. Frost | 1 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| M. MacLellan | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Conwell | 33 | 4-14 | 1-9 | 3-3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 5 | - |
| M. Brown Jr. | 28 | 1-7 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 7 | - |
| I. McKneely | 27 | 4-8 | 4-8 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 7 | - |
| K. Rooths | 26 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 1-3 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 16 | - |
| A. Wooley | 18 | 3-9 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| S. Fru | 17 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 12 | - |
| K. Pryor | 16 | 5-6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 9 | - |
| K. Rodgers | 12 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| V. Zougris | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | - |
| A. Khalifa | 10 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| J. Hadley | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter