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Duke

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Duke Blue Devils, Duke
Program History
Coach: Mike Krzyzewski

2013 Team Stats (29 games)

77.9
PPG
65.3
Opp
+11.9
Margin
48.0%
FG%
42.8%
3P%
72.1%
FT%
33.4
RPG
14.6
APG
10.8
TO
77.0
Pace

Model Outputs

2012-2013
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1843 (#8) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1709 (#2) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +147 elo More → 1163 (#14) HCA +147 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.0 More → +43.7 (#2) HCA +3.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → +24.3 (#15) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.872 (#4) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +19.6 More → 0.901 (#17) NetEff +19.6
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +20.8 More → 0.916 (#6) AdjNet +20.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +21.0 More → 0.918 (#6) AdjNet +21.0
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 73.9 | AdjD 61.0 More → 0.763 (#10) AdjO 73.9 | AdjD 61.0
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.947 (#6) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.933 (#6) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 94 | GP 35 More → 1381 (#6) RD 94 | GP 35

2013 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2012-11-09 vs Georgia State Panthers W 74 - 55
2012-11-13 @ Kentucky Wildcats W 75 - 68
2012-11-18 vs Florida Gulf Coast Eagles W 88 - 67
2012-11-22 vs Minnesota Golden Gophers W 89 - 71
2012-11-23 @ VCU Rams W 67 - 58
2012-11-24 @ Louisville Cardinals W 76 - 71
2012-11-28 vs Ohio State Buckeyes W 73 - 68
2012-12-01 vs Delaware Blue Hens W 88 - 50
2012-12-08 vs Temple Owls W 90 - 67
2012-12-19 vs Cornell Big Red W 88 - 47
2012-12-20 vs Elon Phoenix W 76 - 54
2012-12-29 vs Santa Clara Broncos W 90 - 77
2013-01-02 @ Davidson Wildcats W 67 - 50
2013-01-05 vs Wake Forest Demon Deacons W 80 - 62
2013-01-08 vs Clemson Tigers W 68 - 40
2013-01-12 @ NC State Wolfpack L 76 - 84
2013-01-17 vs Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets W 73 - 57
2013-01-23 @ Miami Hurricanes L 63 - 90
2013-01-26 vs Maryland Terrapins W 84 - 64
2013-01-30 @ Wake Forest Demon Deacons W 75 - 70
2013-02-02 @ Florida State Seminoles W 79 - 60
2013-02-07 vs NC State Wolfpack W 98 - 85
2013-02-10 @ Boston College Eagles W 62 - 61
2013-02-13 vs North Carolina Tar Heels W 73 - 68
2013-02-16 @ Maryland Terrapins L 81 - 83
2013-02-21 @ Virginia Tech Hokies W 88 - 56
2013-02-24 vs Boston College Eagles W 89 - 68
2013-02-28 @ Virginia Cavaliers L 68 - 73
2013-03-02 vs Miami Hurricanes W 79 - 76
2013-03-05 vs Virginia Tech Hokies W 85 - 57
2013-03-09 @ North Carolina Tar Heels W 69 - 53
2013-03-15 vs Maryland Terrapins L 74 - 83
2013-03-22 vs Albany Great Danes W 73 - 61
2013-03-24 vs Creighton Bluejays W 66 - 50
2013-03-29 vs Michigan State Spartans W 71 - 61
2013-03-31 @ Louisville Cardinals L 63 - 85

2013 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
A. Vernerey A. Vernerey - 1 0.0 22.0 7.0 5.0 1.0 4.0 1.0 15.0 23.0 - - - 73.3 0 0 - 73.3 73.3
C. Gray C. Gray - 1 0.0 18.0 7.0 8.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 10.0 25.0 -64 -2.0 -4.5 50.0 66.7 100.0 -0.43 71.2 60.0
E. Williams E. Williams - 1 0.0 18.0 6.0 2.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 15.0 14.0 - - - 53.3 0 100.0 -0.44 56.7 53.3
S. Curry S. Curry G 35 32.3 17.5 2.5 1.5 0.9 0.2 1.2 10.7 10.7 - - - 47.9 45.8 77.9 2.43 71.5 59.6
M. Plumlee M. Plumlee F 36 34.7 17.1 10.0 1.9 1.0 1.4 2.9 8.9 19.7 - - - 59.2 0 66.4 1.64 74.0 59.2
T. Liston T. Liston - 2 0.0 16.0 7.5 2.5 2.5 0.0 1.0 14.5 13.0 - - - 34.5 46.7 83.3 - 50.6 46.6
R. Kelly R. Kelly F 23 28.9 12.9 5.3 1.7 0.7 1.6 1.0 7.0 14.1 300 13.0 20.0 46.9 47.7 83.3 2.27 77.5 56.5
Q. Cook Q. Cook G 36 33.6 11.7 3.8 5.3 1.4 0.1 2.2 9.0 11.2 - - - 41.5 40.6 90.7 1.33 60.7 49.5
R. Sulaimon R. Sulaimon G 36 29.2 11.6 3.4 1.9 0.8 0.1 1.2 7.2 9.1 294 8.2 12.0 42.7 38.0 80.8 1.59 68.0 50.6
Haley Peters Haley Peters - 2 0.0 11.5 9.0 1.0 0.5 0.0 2.0 9.5 10.5 - - - 52.6 100.0 50.0 - 55.4 55.3
A. Jones A. Jones - 2 0.0 9.0 6.5 7.5 2.0 1.0 4.5 7.5 14.0 69 2.1 3.9 46.7 66.7 100.0 0.56 56.7 53.3
R. Jackson R. Jackson - 1 0.0 4.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 5.0 1.0 -19 -3.8 -5.2 40.0 0.0 0 0.34 40.0 40.0
A. Jefferson A. Jefferson F 32 12.7 4.0 2.9 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.4 2.9 4.7 - - - 55.4 0 61.0 0.43 57.7 55.4
T. Thornton T. Thornton G 36 22.0 3.6 2.3 2.2 1.3 0.1 1.1 2.5 5.9 311 8.6 15.1 41.6 40.0 68.2 2.02 65.9 57.3
J. Hairston J. Hairston F 35 12.7 2.6 2.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.5 2.1 2.6 74 2.1 6.3 43.8 0.0 68.2 -0.04 54.4 43.8
A. Murphy A. Murphy F 31 6.3 2.1 1.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.4 1.7 1.2 -14 -0.5 -2.3 50.9 22.7 41.7 -0.53 54.9 55.7
T. Zafirovski T. Zafirovski F 7 2.3 0.7 0.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.6 0.9 - - - 50.0 0 25.0 - 43.4 50.0
M. Plumlee M. Plumlee C 19 2.6 0.1 0.6 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.4 - - - 12.5 0 0.0 1.64 8.7 12.5

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG