Model Predictions
| Model | Duke Blue Devils | Florida State Seminoles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 72.5% | 27.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 76.9% | 23.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 73.0% | 27.0% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 58.7% | 41.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 97.0% | 3.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 97.1% | 2.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 74.2% | 25.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Florida State Seminoles -19 (60-79). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rasheed Sulaimon * | 35 | 6-11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 8 | +18.1 |
| Quinn Cook * | 32 | 7-12 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 16 | +12.0 |
| Amile Jefferson * | 29 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 13 | +0.8 |
| Seth Curry * | 27 | 7-11 | 5-7 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 16 | +17.1 |
| Mason Plumlee * | 25 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 14 | +14.2 |
| Tyler Thornton | 17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | +6.7 |
| Josh Hairston | 16 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 1 | +3.6 |
| Alex Murphy | 13 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -1 | -6.4 |
| Marshall Plumlee | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.8 |
Florida State Seminoles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Okaro White * | 28 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | -10.9 |
| Michael Snaer * | 26 | 3-13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | -20.3 |
| Kiel Turpin * | 20 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 9 | -3.1 |
| Montay Brandon * | 17 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | -17.2 |
| Terry Whisnant * | 14 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | -6.8 |
| Devon Bookert | 24 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 4 | +7.0 |
| Aaron Thomas | 22 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 5-5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 10 | +14.2 |
| Ian Miller | 18 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -9.5 |
| Boris Bojanovsky | 13 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -4.3 |
| Robert Gilchrist | 12 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | +3.8 |
| Michael Ojo | 6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | -4.0 |
* = starter